Following the past few months of chaos in the Republican party, as those who don't want Romney try to come up with a viable alternate candidate, I guess it seemed impossible to me that any of these little guys fighting it out could ever actually beat Romney. With Romney solidly in consideration this entire time that others have popped up and quickly faded, it seemed impossible that Romney wouldn't win the primaries. The results of the Iowa caucus showed that American Republicans are even more divided than I had previously thought. This is shown by the fact such an extreme divide in the party exists this late in the game, that Republicans aren't willing to just unite around the candidate most likely to beat Obama.
As a liberal, my reaction to the Iowa Caucus was one of relief. If the Republicans are fighting so desperately among themselves and are in such heated disagreement about fundamental ideals, it makes me feel much more hopeful that Obama will be reelected. Also, I'm happy that Americans aren't so crazy as to let Bachmann succeed in Iowa. Yes.
According to the Iowa caucus results it is clear to a certain extent that there may exist in the near future a Republican takeover of the executive authority and it is probable that the senate will fall under Republican control fully. Based on the analyzed data: Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum are closely matched while Ron Paul and Gingrich are slighltly emerging from the bottom to the top. Rick Perry and Michelle Bachman stand at a demise with Perry withdrawing from the race. In my perspective the four personal/candidates will go on, the question however is how far. Gingrich, Newt still has a chance to rise above Ron Paul while Rick Santorum may propel himself above Mitt Romney. Even though these results are not crucial at times, they are a perception of what is to come; Mitt Romney who came out "victorious" seems like a probable candidate for New Hampshire, etc. Even though Republican motives are divided among the party, a Republican authority will emerge in my perspective given time and the democrats will most likely remain in power within the house of rep. It is however necessary to await and reflect upon the results of the primary where 4 candidates will enter and mostly likely 2 will emerge, one of whom will be Romney.
Could you explain more why you think the primaries are indicative of a Republican takeover of the Senate and solidify the chance of a Republican victory of the presidential elections? I don't quite follow. Thanks.
For the most part, the results of the Iowa caucus were extremely predictable. I mean, Romney was ahead in the polls the almost the entire week leading up to the caucus. I was hoping that someone else would win, just for excitement's sake. But it is the Republican party after all, so my hopes weren't very high in the first place. All of the candidates have done some shifting around, with the exception of Romney. Rick Perry was once thought to be the only one who could Romney a run for his money, and he almost dropped out after his poor showing in Iowa. Like Charlotte previously stated, this just shows that the party is not as unified as they'd like everyone to think. I understand that in different states, different types of candidates will do better. But there's been such a huge state of unrest, where one day Gingrich is up, and the next it's Santorum who's right behind Romney. And now Huntsman is second in the polls in South Carolina, when he finished dead last, if not next to last, in Iowa.
I mean, if you look at both the Democratic and Republican races of 2008, neither were anywhere near this hectic, or childish. Sure, Mike Huckabee started out as the Republican frontrunner, and was taken out by John McCain, but that's a normal change. The same rings true for Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama on the Democratic side of things. This run for the Republican race is hilarious, and Obama must be having quite a laugh when he manages to watch CNN, you know, when he's not busy doing presidential stuff.
I think that it is very impressive that Rick Santorum was able to rise up to the top next to Mitt Romney so close. But because of some of their similarities, it is not surprising they might attract similar voters. Since both Romney and Santorum have religious backgrounds, are against abortion, against guns, repealed Obamacare, oppose gay marriage, and intend to cut taxes (a given), it is now up to them to distinguish themselves and make themselves more appealing in South Carolina.
Romney, with an investment CEO background may be able to appeal to big companies, because of his 25 percent corporate tax cut. This might give him an upperhand.
On the other hand, Santorum ‘s motto is Faith, Family, and Freedom. He will definitely appeal to more religious people, with strong family values.
I think that Ron Paul (reaping 21%) and Gangrich (gaining 13%) still have a fighting chance, however, in remaining in the race. Gangrich although holding only 13%, strived to do better in the next debate. He also noted he will be more critical of Romney in his speech. I await his promise.
Looking at the big picture, I agree with Charlotte that this intense race demonstrates that even within the Republican Party, candidates’ ideologies can be quite different. Perhaps this means that two major parties, Republicans and Democrats are not enough, as there are many views of the people being underrepresented?
Mitt Romney coming in first was no surprise at all. He has been consist from the beginning to the Iowa caucus. But I am surprised that Rick Santorum came in a close second, mainly because I kind of heard of his name around October. So far, everyone had mentioned that the Republican party is obviously divided and tear itself apart. I agree. Romney and Santorum have totally different platforms.
Santorum's main thing is Religion, which is tricky because there are some states that are wildly religious and some states that just don't care for it. He'll definitely one of the top three at the upcoming South Carolina Caucus but I think he won't fare well at New Hampshire. I don't really know where I fall into the conservative/liberal stale but I don't think we should count him out just because he doesn't like gays and wants to ban abortion. Santorum's economic plan is and will appeal to the poor. He wants to cut taxes and stop loopholes, unlike Romney. Critics have noted that his economic plan is a little impossible. He also doesn't have deep pockets either. I can't really make a prediction about his campaign.
Rick Perry, of course, is done. Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich still have a chance. I have noticed that Paul and Gingrich don't have something negative attached to their campaign. For the most part, the media doesn't' portray those two as stupid like the media portrayed Perry.
Paul,Gingrich, or Romney will get the Republican nomination.
Santorum has a chance too. Cutting taxes doesn't appeal to the poor as much as it does to the wealthy. In that case it will appeal to both. I would think that the poor like the government to collect taxes and use that money to fund programs, many of ehich are designed for them. I can't imagine the rich people liking that idea, as they won't benefit too much from government funded programs.
using the article" Romney Wins Iowa Caucus by 8 Votes", as well as the rest of the campaign, it shows how Romney has a strong chance at becoming the next candidate. because of his victory in Iowa, it gives him a general idea on where he stands in his chances in runningg for president. However, his next campaign destination might show less than appealing numbers for him. his rival, Rick Santorum, would have the upper hand when both candidates reach South Carolina.
Because of such close numbers between Santorum and Romney, the candidates such as Perry and Bachman were forced to give up. there numbers considerably low, giving them the sense of how the people see them.
i however don't like the way the media makes such big hypes over who wins the Iowa caucus given the fact that it is kinda biased. there is really no racial diversity or religious diversity in Iowa and the data collected there is not fairly adding in the oppinions of the minorities. Most people in Iowa are White and Christian/Prodestant.
since Romney is the more Democratic and more liberal out of the top two runners, i believe he will have the greater effect on the minorities and this might be proven fals when the two face off in New Hapshire, since it is a more liberal state.he is more closely tied to the problems of everyday people because he was even quoted to have almost gotten the pink slip before. however i agree with anna when she said that his economic plan was a little ridiculous. he wants to extend the payroll tax holiday and while his ideas for not wanting to raise taxes any higher than they are now due to the economy sound nice, it doesn't seem realistic. its a good idea but i feel he is sugar coating the problem and just stating how he can "Fix" the economic problem, but i would like to see how he can accomplish this.
in my opinion out of Romney, Santorum and Gingrich, i believe Romney is going to get the nomination since Santorum is mostly faith and religiously concerened and gingrich doesn't have an idea that sets him apart from the other two.
After seeing the results of the Iowa Caucus, I am very curious to see what will happen between the candidates. Currently there are 3 top candidates for the Republican party- Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul. Although Iowa was very important, (especially because Super PAC's were analyzing the candidates to figure out who they were going to fund) it was only one state. I don't think that the results will come out the same in New Hampshire this week.
Personally, I disagree with Charlotte and Wiam. I don't think that it shows that the Party is not unified... it just shows that the Republican Party is still exploring their candidates. I mean, I know that I'm not sure of which candidate I agree with most- and I've seen a fair amount of interviews with a few of them. I just don't think that the public really knows enough about any of the the candidates to be completely supportive of one person. The Democrats are all behind Obama automatically because he is running for reelection. But I know for a fact that if they had to select a new candidate to compete in the presidential election, they would all be supporting a few different candidates. I think over time, we will see who the Republican Party agrees with most because the public will also get to learn more about each potential candidate.
If I had to make a prediction for the presidential election, I would say that Romney will probably end up being the candidate that competes against Obama. I think this because when you look back at previous elections, it seems that the person who comes in second, and doesn't get the presidential nomination, attempts to run for president in the next election. For example, McCain was a candidate who came in second when he was competing with Bush for the nomination. And in 2008, he ended up becoming the candidate. And in 2008, Romney came in second when he was competing for the nomination. I think that he'll get the nomination because by the end of the primary season, Republicans will probably know most about him.
But although I think Romney will potentially get the nomination, it is still too early to tell. The Iowa Caucus usually doesn't mean very much. In 2008 McCain came in 4th in the Iowa Caucus, but he still got the nomination... so I don't think that it is fair to assume that Romney will get the nomination based off of the Iowa Caucus. Only time will reveal which candidate will rise to the top and get the nomination. For all we know it could be any of the top four Republican candidates that will compete against Obama for the presidency.
But it is important to keep in mind that McCain isn't Romney, and that Romney does have a different campaign that is very strong.
I think it is pretty clear that he'll win the nomination.
The GOP this presidential election is a bit eccentric. The original lineup of candidates was downright ridiculous but after Cain and Pawlenty and the like dropping out, it seems like Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum are the two with the most legitimacy, but Mitt Romney seems the the one
Both appeal to different demographics, as illustrated by Ashley. Mitt Romney represents the typical conservative, pro-life/anti-gay marriage/anti-drugs/lowering taxes, but not super religious. He led the way with Santorum in the Iowa Caucuses, and his universally upheld platform will definitely help him win more. And as of the morning (January 9th), he holds the lead in New Hampshire, because he's pretty much the only realistically electable one who is actually a threat to Obama. I say threat for lack of better word, because a good number of Republicans find his stance on many issues erratic and he definitely represents the rich old white man stereotype that doesn't really appeal to most Americans.
Rick Santorum advocates himself as a strong conservative Republican, pro-life/very anti-gay marriage/pro-war. The public was initially unenthusiastic about his presence, partly because of some scandal surrounding his political position, involving the Catholic priest sexual abuse. His grip on Iowa is probably not going to last throughout the rest of the country.
I agree with Charlotte, that the party is really not unified and whoever wins is just going to be the candidate that appeals to the most people without being embarrassing or ridiculous, which is almost definitely going to end up being Romney.
I think the results of this caucus were not as indicative of future elections as past Iowa caucus's have been. Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum were so incredibly close that there is no real way to tell who will be the frontrunner in the future. Besides, the Iowa population is not characteristic of the rest of America, so these results may not show much at all. In addition to all this, the turnout for this year's caucus was very low--122,000 people showed up to vote. When compared with the last democratic caucus (where 200,000 people showed up), this number seems very low indeed. Hopefully (biased? me?) this means the Republican party will have a tough time getting their people to the voting booths this season, which could hurt whatever Republican candidate ends up running. I think that in the end, the real purpose of the Iowa caucus is to weed out the candidates who need to be weeded out. Michelle Bachmann is gone (hallelujah) and Rick Perry is pretty much done. Newt Gingrich will really have to work to stay in the race, but Ron Paul still has a definite chance, especially in the more liberal states.
I believe that the Iowa Caucus is not going to clearly determine who will win the race. I agree with Raye that other candidates were extremely close to Romney, especially Santorum. Therefore, it is not justified to say that the caucus has shown that Romney would probably win the election.
Also, Iowa can't completely represent other states and the people and cultures from the other states. Although Romney was the preferred candidate in Iowa, it does not necessarily show that when the caucus takes place in New Hampshire, that Romney will continue being the preferred candidate. Since Iowa and New Hampshire differ geographically and socially, NH may choose another candidate that would defeat Romney in the caucus.
The caucus in Iowa, however, has concluded in the withdrawal of candidates and has also changed the minds of others. Bachman has withdrawn and other candidates are strongly considering to withdraw from the race. Therefore, the caucus in Iowa has skewed the election in a significant way. Even so, I do not believe that the caucus in Iowa has strictly determined who would win the election for Republicans.
It’s pretty clear the Romney is going to be the Republican nominee. The Iowa caucus made the front-runners of the election clear: Romney, Santorum, and Paul. I don’t think that Santorum and Paul have much of a chance up against Romney. Romney’s campaign is the strongest; he has the best resources, staff, and most importantly, money. Also, it is important to look at this process through the eyes of Republican voters. Voters will keep Romney on top through all the primaries and he will eventually win the nomination because they see him as most likely to beat Obama. Although Santorum and Paul still rank highly, I don’t think that viewers see them as stable candidates that can beat Obama. In addition, although Romney is very conservative, he’s not as crazy or extreme as the other GOP candidates.
Also, Romney just won in the New Hampshire primaries.
Romney, Santorum and Paul each have shown the chance to win. Although Romney won the Iowa Caucus, Santorum and Paul were still very close. It is hard to say who will win the run against Obama, just yet. Romney seems especially strong, a little more than the other two, but nothing is for certain. Santorum and Paul could step it up a bit and tip the scale in their favor.
Also Romney was the governor of Massachusetts, so he is more likely to win New Hampshire, as it is a state close by that holds similar ideaologies
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